Baseball Prospectus compares two of the Mets offseason acquisitions to the players they replaced and finds that the Mets probrobly could have kept what they had and got similar production, for far less money.
2006 VORPPlayer Age PECOTA Actual SalaryDelgado 34 37.1 12.3 $13,500,000Mike Jacobs 25 24.6 17.6 $327,000 2006 VORPPlayer Age PECOTA Actual BS SalaryWagner 34 17.3 12.4 4 $10,500,000Looper 31 5.0 11.4 1 $3,500,000
Personally, I think Delgado's value is more than just what he has provided so far in offense. He has had a huge effect on Carlos Beltran and that is something you can't really put a price tag on. That is a butterfly effect that improves the entire lineup. Delgado cannot be expected to continue slumping for long and his numbers here are skewed from the black hole he currently resides.
As for Looper, you cannot possibly go into this season with Looper as your closer. The team's psyche would simply be unable to take that. I have no problem with the Mets going with Wagner, even if he's only a slight improvement over Looper in actual numbers.
Sphere: Related ContentBaseball Prospectus highlights that Cliff Floyd's luck has seemed to start changing. As we all observed, early in the season Cliff was getting good swings and hitting the ball with authority but he couldnt seem to get anything to drop. An indication of things turning his way is his batting average for balls in play…
April .197May .270June .286July .357
Over the past 30 days, Floyd is batting .310, with a .420 OBA, and .595
slugging. He's averaged a home run every 14 at bats in that period.
Over the past 7 games, Cliff has hit .375, with a .483 OBA, and an
ungodly .833 slugging percentage. He has averaged a home run every 8 at
bats over the past 7 games.
Thats quite a nice rise for Cliff, lets hope Pedro keeps swatting him with that little plastic wiffle ball bat.
Sphere: Related ContentSingle Season HR Record: 41 (1996) - Todd Hundley
Carlos Beltran's pace: 48
Carlos Delgado's pace: 42
David Wright's pace: 37
Single Season Runs Record: 123 (1999) - Edgardo Alfonzo
Jose Reyes' pace: 139
Carlos Beltran's pace: 128
Single Season RBI Record: 124 (1999) - Mike Piazza
David Wright's pace: 136
Carlos Beltran's pace: 132
Single Season SB Record: 66 (1999) - Roger Cedeno
Jose Reyes' pace: 72
Single Season OPS Record: 1.024 (2000) - Mike Piazza
Carlos Beltran: .994
David Wright: .961
Single Season SLG Record: .614 (2000) - Mike Piazza
Carlos Beltran: .606
Single Season Doubles Record: 44 (1996) - Bernard Gilkey
David Wright's pace: 40
Carlos Beltran's pace: 37
Single Season Triples Record: 21 (1996) - Lance Johnson
Jose Reyes' pace: 22
Single Season Win Loss Perecentage Record: .870 (1988) - David Cone
Tom Glavine: .846
Delgado has just three hits in his last 23 at-bats. Though he missed
three games in the middle of that stretch because of a sore rib cage,
he did not use that as an excuse for his slump.
“I'm a little too quick, in baseball terms,” he said. “I'm not waiting back.”
Delgado said the fact his batting average is so low at this point is a sign he hasn't been able to get comfortable in the box.
“In order to hit for average you have to be consistent, and I haven't been consistent,” he said.
Sphere: Related ContentKen Rosenthal on Fox Sports reports that Jose Reyes is on pace to record a feat only 5 players in baseball history have been able to achieve. He would need to increase his home run production slightly, but he's right there…
George Brett, Royals, 1979
Willie Mays, Giants, 1957
Jeff Heath, Indians, 1941
Jim Bottomley, Cardinals, 1928
Wildfire Schulte, Cubs, 1911
Yes, its Sabermetrics day at the Foot. If VORP is the filet mignon of statistics, Win Shares is the pork. How many games has this guy contributed to winning for his team? I mean, what could be a more telling sign of value for a player than Win Shares? I present to you the current Win Share rankings by way of The Hardball Times…
1. Puljos 20
2. Beltran 18
3. Berkman 17
4. Abreu 16
4. Granderson 16
4. Wright 16
5. Mauer 15
…
6. Reyes 14
VORP.
Value over replacement player.
What the hell is he talking about???
VORP is the moneyball of statistics. Sabermatricians (you know, the folks running the Red Sox these days) swear by it. They claim it is the best way to judge the true value of a player to a team's success over an average major league player. If you're looking for a literal definition check here and here.
Why am I telling you this? Its leading up to how the Mets stack up in VORP….
Player VORP
1. Travis Hafner 45.5
2. Albert Pujlos 40.3
3. Vernon Wells 40.1
4. David Wright 39.7
5. Miguel Cabrera 38.3
6. Joe Mauer 38.2
7. Grady Sizemore 36.6
8. Carlos Beltran 33.8
9. Derek Jeter 33.6
…
15. Jose Reyes 31.9
The Mets opponents have the lowest batting average against them in the majors, a paultry .219
The Mets have the highest K's per 9 innings average in the majors, at 8.2
The Mets have the second lowest WHIP in the majors, 1.19 just behind Detroit with 1.10
The Mets have the second highest K's to Walks ratio in the majors, 2.43, just behind the Twins with 2.90
The Mets have the second lowest ERA in the majors, 3.12, a smidge behind Detroit with 3.13.
Sphere: Related Content18 Apr
Mets Fan In Oklahoma put together a great article about the Mets early domination in Run Differential. For us non-geeks out there, this is Runs Scored minus Runs Allowed. The Mets lead the league in this important category. Check out Steve's article here.
By the way, if you're ever looking for the best pre-game weather forcast, Steve is your man in that department as well.
Sphere: Related ContentDavid Wright is 4th in the majors in Slugging %, RBIs, and Total Bases with .938, 12, and 30 respectively. He is 3rd in Hits and Batting Average, with 15 and .469. He is what we call, “en fuego”.
Carlos Beltran is 8-for-21 in with three homers and nine RBIs during the
Mets 6 game winning streak and Cliff Floyd has driven in a run in three straight games.
The Mets are 3rd in the majors in Batting Average and Slugging %, with .320 and .542
Pedro Martinez needs one more win to reach a milestone of 200.
The Mets have given up the fewest runs in the majors, just 27 in 8 games. They also have the lowest ERA in baseball, 2.84. They're tied for lowest WHIP in baseball with 1.06
Opponents have the lowest batting average in the league against the Mets, just .195
Sphere: Related ContentDayn Perry of Fox Sports joins in on the fawning over the boy wonder in his article comparing him to the likes of Eddie Matthews, Alex Rodriguez and Albert Pujols…
Shea Stadium is a park that's thoroughly hostile toward right-handed
power hitters, but in spite of that environment Wright has thrived as a
major-league hitter. In the final half of 2004, Wright hit .293
AVG/.332 OBP/.525, and the next season — his first full one in the
majors — he put up a batting line of .306 AVG/.388 OBP/.523 SLG. That's
an OPS (on-base percentage plus slugging percentage — a good thumbnail
indicator of a player's offensive contributions) of .911 by a
22-year-old. Let's put that in historical context. Since 1900, here are
the top five all-time OPS's by third basemen younger than age 23:
| Top seasons by third basemen under 23 | ||
| Player | Year | OPS |
| Eddie Matthews | 1953 | 1.033 |
| Eddie Matthews | 1954 | 1.026 |
| Albert Pujols | 2001 | 1.013 |
| Dick Allen | 1964 | .939 |
| David Wright | 2005 | .911 |
Read the entire article here.
CNNSI.com ranks the Mets 1-2 combo of Pedro and Glavine as 5th best in baseball. Check out the entire list here.
Sphere: Related ContentJeremy Heit of Mets Geek breaks down the Mets offense…
Read the entire article here.
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