16

That’s how many homeruns the Mets have from their left fielders, right fielders and first basemen combined.

17

That’s how many homeruns Adam Dunn has for the Washington Nationals.

Two and a half months into the season, and I am ready to declare the 2009 offseason a bust. I will elevate that to the status of “epic fail” if the Mets fail to make the postseason.

Sure, they addressed the bullpen. But any 12 year old playing fantasy baseball could have figured out that the Mets bullpen needed fixing. It would take at least a 15 year old playing fantasy baseball plus to realize that Daniel Murphy might not be that good, Ryan Church probably won’t suddenly start hitting lefties and the 37 year old Carlos Delgado definitely won’t hit 38 homeruns again.

Any lineup with Jose Reyes, David Wright, Carlos Beltran and Carlos Delgado should automatically be one of the strongest in baseball. But a weak supporting cast and limited backup plans left the Mets with limited leeway in terms of injuries.

Unfortunately, the front office did nothing to address these issues, despite a handful of attractive options at reasonable prices. They did not plan for anything to go wrong, and that is why the Mets are in the situation they are now in (Gary Sheffield was a great signing, but it is becoming clear that he will not be able to play the field every day).

If the Mets had signed/ traded for one of these six players, I believe that they would currently be in first place in the NL East (or at least in the Wild Card).

Adam Dunn- Dunn can play both corner outfield spots and first base, although he is a butcher in the field. The Nationals signed him at the bargain-bin price of $20 million over two years, and he has produced with 17 homeruns and a .918 OPS. Dunn would be the perfect #5 hitter for the Mets, and he could take over at first base next year should the Mets not bring Delgado back. The only only possible explanation for not signing Dunn is that it made too much sense.

Pat Burrell- The poor man’s Adam Dunn, the right-handed Pat The Bat also would have made a great #5 hitter. He has gotten off to a rough start so far, battling injuries for much of the season. But he usually hits 30 homeruns and gets on base at a great rate. Mets fans would have felt conflicted to see him in Orange and Blue, but at two years, $16 million, it would have been a financially smart investment.

Nick Swisher- The former first round pick is hitting only .244, but he walks and hits for power. He can play both corner outfield spots, as well as first base. Swisher sure would be an upgrade over the anemic platoon the Mets are now employing at first base. He may not be an all star, and he is probably the worst option on this list, but he only cost the Yankees a bag of balls (Wilson Betemit, who has since been designated for assignment by the White Sox).

Bobby Abreu- The ex-Yankee has only 3 homeruns, but he has a .304 batting average, a .398 OBP and 15 stolen bases in 16 attempts. He hasn’t hit less than 15 homeruns in his career, so the power should come. His speed and patience would fit in perfectly as the Mets’ #2 hitter.

Raul Ibanez- I’m willing to give the Mets a pass for not signing Ibanez. At 37 years old, it only makes sense that he would be on the downside of his career, and the Mets have been burned in the past by signing older players. I also cannot blame them for not topping the Phillies’ offer of three years, $30 million. Most people thought the Phillies gave too many years to a player that would be 40 by the end of the contract, and that they should have waited for the market to set itself. Of course, that was before everyone found out that Raul Ibanez is actually a better version of Ted Williams.

Manny Ramirez- In retrospect, I’m glad the Mets did not sign Manny, for obvious reasons. But I don’t believe that the Mets knew anything about his steroid abuse. Their decision to pass on Manny was strictly based on payroll and/or the belief that Daniel Murphy could contribute this season. Either way, the team decided to stand pat with a glaring hole in their lineup and one of the biggest impact bats on the market.

  • Chris
    Pretty easy to write a blog post criticizing the offseason after you've had 2 1/2 months of the baseball season to re-evalute things. I'm sure if Omar had a stat sheet during the offseason with everyones numbers through mid June it would be easy for him too.
  • Rich Resch
    This year's stats are not the basis of my argument. They couldn't have known the exact stats, but they should have known their track records. All of these players have better track records than Church and Murphy.

    Dunn and Swisher are having pretty typical years and Abreu and Burrell are having less than average years. The only player having an unexpectedly great season is Ibanez, and I said I'm giving the Mets a pass for not signing him because there's no way they could have known he'd be this good.

    With the other guys, everyone knew they would be pretty good (Burrell has been injured, he's usually consistent). Whereas with Murphy and Church don't have much of a track record as full time starts; the Mets front office hoped they'd be good. They crossed their fingers and went with the guys they had instead of paying for an upgrade that was almost a sure thing. It has backfired on them so far. Why is it not fair to get on them for that?

    If Church and Murphy really turn it around, I'll write a post admitting I was wrong. I would really like to be wrong.
  • metsgl
    I don't think Murphy isn't good. I think his problem is he doesn't get to play. Jerry, Lets Murphy play against righties and lefties like you said you would do. Murphy needs playing time.
  • Bryan
    I agree on Dunn. He gets dumped on for no reason. The rest are less cut and dry. Burrell would have been a good pick up but he's not having a good season at all. The Mets would have had to trade for Swisher and while Betemit was DFA'd, he wasn't the only player in that deal and the Mets never had a useful player like Betemit. Abreu is an atrocious in the OF and his power isn't a guarantee to return.

    Ibanez was, and still is, overpaid by the Phillies. Does anyone think this guy is going to keep it up the rest of the contract? Heck, does anyone think he can even keep it up the rest of the year? The Mets were smart to pass on him as it would have cost them their 2nd round pick.

    Manny was not worth 2 yrs/$40M. The Dodgers were dumb to give him that much anyway since no one else was willing to pony up.

    Your post is nothing more than a disgruntled fan second guessing the GM. If Minaya knew he'd lose Reyes and Delgado for an extended period of time, he would have done more to help the offense. Unfortunately, crystal balls don't exist.
  • Rich Resch
    Also, I agree on Ibanez- I said I'm willing to give them a pass on not signing him because no one thought he'd be this good. There's no reason for him to be this good, and I hope that he stops being this good immediately.

    Oh look...he's on the DL.
  • Rich Resch
    Thanks for the comments. Reyes' injury is unfortunate and I obviously can't get on Minaya for that. Delgado's injury is not surprising given he is 37 years old, but again, not Minaya's fault.

    My beef is that there were still some question marks in the lineup, and a handful of good, cheap options that could have been had. It seemed like they were too confident in the lineup when, after two collapses, most Mets fans wanted as much insurance as possible. Everyone knew Delgado wasn't going to hit 38 homeruns again.

    On Murphy- I'm not trying to say that he isn't good. I'm still holding out hope on him. What I was trying to say is that it seemed as if the front office put all of their eggs in the Murphy basket.

    I do give them props for the Sheffield signing. That has obviously worked out better than anyone could have expected.

    And yes, I am a disgruntled fan, as I think many of us are right now.
  • Bob
    Rich, I'm going to have to disagree with you here.

    1. You are acting as if since adressing the bullpen was SO obvious, that they shouldn't have done it and should have gone after power instead. While I would have liked to see them do both- that just isn't reasonable. If I had my choice I would take upgrading the bullpen over the lineup 100 times over.

    2. You say it yourself that any lineup with Reyes, Beltran, Wright, and Delgado should be great. Well guess what, Reyes and Delgado aren't in the lineup, so I don't think you can say the Mets so badly needed to upgrade their offense. If those guys stay healthy the season could look completely different and then you would be praising Omar for upgrading the bullpen.

    3. Why couldn't we expect Delgado to hit 38 HR's again? Does 12 month make that big of a difference? What is the reason why a 36 year old can hit 38 HR's but a 37 year old has no chance. I think that is just silly.

    4. Of course it would have been nice to get Manny, but guess what we would be in the same situation we are in now because of his suspension. So 20-20 hindsight goes both ways.

    I think your reaction is severly unreasonable and premature. There are 100 games left in the season!
  • Rich Resch
    Thanks for the comment Bob. I'll respond to each of your points:

    1. I think they did a great job addressing the bullpen. They fixed what was the biggest problem last season, but they didn't do anything to ensure that the lineup could withstand any major injuries. By spending $5-10 million more, they could have added an all star caliber outfielder (or second baseman). If it's a money issue, that is one thing. But they publicly said that it is not a money issue and that the team just didn't need any more offense. It is as if they planned for nothing to go wrong.

    2. My point here was that the supporting cast outside of the big 4 is not strong enough to carry the team should something happen to 1 or 2 of the big 4. Even before Reyes got hurt, people were complaining about the lack of production from the corner outfielders.

    3. You're right, it is possible that Delgado would have hit 38 homeruns over a full season. But people forget how bad he was in 2007 and the first half of 2008. Maybe he could have hit 38 homeruns again, but there is no way he could have come close to sustaining the hot streak he had the second half of last year, when his OPS was .200 full points higher than in the first half. I believe he would have had a good year, but to expect him to carry us for three months again is unreasonable.

    4. It would have been nice to get Manny, but I understand if they didn't want to spend $20 million. What really kills me is that Adam Dunn was available for $10 million. That would have been a great move even before Delgado got injured- Dunn could play 1st base in 2010.

    My reaction is premature, but if I wait too long, it is hindsight. I can't win either way.

    I guess we'll just have to agree to disagree.
  • Bob
    Rich- thank you for the response. I apologize if I came off too harsh or rude. I respect your points but still must disagree with you on certain points.
  • jcutiger
    I think you're comments are spot on. Signing Dunn seemed like a no-brainer. I would had another signing that teh Mets didn't make - Randy Wolf. Thought he made a lot of sense especially sine the Phillies are lefty dominant. Thought we could still have signed him even after signing Perez.
  • Benjamin Tulis
    I'm sorry but I am going to have to toot my own horn:

    http://www.hotfootblog.com/2009/01/06/the-case-...

    But while Dunn would have undoubtedly made this lineup better, he is not a good enough trainer to have kept Reyes, Delgado and Putz (among others) healthy. Nonetheless, I stand by my Adam Dunn support.

    Also, imagine if Luis Ayala/Aaron Heilman were still closing games. The Mets would be 10 out.
  • Rich Resch
    Benjamin, I remember reading your article and I meant to post a comment on it saying I agreed 100%
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